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How Much Further Can the "Magnificent Seven" Fall? Here's What History Suggests.

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Just weeks after approaching its all-time high, the Nasdaq Composite is tumbling. As of Tuesday morning, the tech-heavy index was down by about 15% from its peak, putting it well into correction territory.

Concerns about new tariffs, weakening consumer sentiment, geopolitical tensions, and a stock market that was already trading at lofty valuations have investors playing defense, selling stocks, and wondering how long this pullback will last.

The members of the “Magnificent Seven” — the much-watched group of tech megacaps comprised of Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) — have almost all fallen even further. Those giants are down by an average of 25% from their 2025 peaks. Only one has fallen less than the Nasdaq — Apple.

MSFT Chart
MSFT data by YCharts.

In a market-wide sell-off, it’s often the growth stocks that enter the correction carrying lofty valuations that get hit the hardest. Those tend to be the stocks that were among the biggest winners in the preceding bull market, and investors’ fears around a weakening economy and a bear market tend to prompt profit-taking. Additionally, those big gainers often have cyclical exposure, and when the macroeconomic headwinds start to pick up, they are apt to be viewed as having become overvalued.

While investors have grouped these seven tech stocks together due to their massive sizes and influence on the market as a whole, their businesses are quite different from one another, and they mostly operate in different subsectors of the tech industry. Therefore, they have differing levels of sensitivity to things like tariffs or inflation.

As this correction progresses, it makes sense to look back on recent history to see what investors should expect.

The last major sell-off in the tech sector and the broad market came in 2022 after the economic reopening sent a number of tech stocks plunging as investors realized that factors that supported their excess growth through the pandemic were temporary. Revenue slowed dramatically at a number of big tech companies, including Amazon, which saw its e-commerce and cloud computing business fade, and Alphabet and Meta Platforms, whose digital advertising businesses decelerated as consumers shifted more of their shopping back to brick-and-mortar commerce and brand owners slashed their marketing budgets in fear of a potential recession.

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